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Outcome of Russia-Italy diplomatic tensions by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution with no further actions • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic expulsions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian and Italian governments or international diplomatic sources
Story
Russia Summons Italian Ambassador Over Journalists' Alleged Border Crossing in Kursk Region
Aug 16, 2024, 05:28 PM
On August 16, the Russian Foreign Ministry summoned the Italian Ambassador in Moscow over allegations of illegal border crossing by Italian journalists reporting from Kursk. The journalists, Stefania Battistini and Simone Traini, are reportedly being investigated under the Russian criminal code for illegal crossing of the state border. The incident highlights ongoing geopolitical strains and the sensitive nature of border security in the region.
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Severance of diplomatic ties • 25%
Improvement in relations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Deterioration in relations • 33%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic channels • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
UN resolution passed • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine increased • 25%
No major actions taken • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic channels • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military standoff • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Another prisoner exchange • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace talks • 25%
No significant diplomatic effort • 25%
No significant outcome • 33%
Increased military coordination • 33%
Increased tensions • 33%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Severed relations • 25%