Loading...
Market
Outcome of OpenAI-Microsoft $14 billion negotiation by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Microsoft gains majority equity • 25%
OpenAI retains majority control • 25%
Equal partnership • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Official announcements from OpenAI or Microsoft, or reputable news sources like WSJ
Story
WSJ: OpenAI and Microsoft in High-Stakes Negotiations Over $14 Billion For-Profit Move
Oct 18, 2024, 09:34 AM
OpenAI and Microsoft are engaged in high-stakes negotiations regarding Microsoft's nearly $14 billion investment in OpenAI, according to WSJ. The discussions focus on how this investment will translate into equity and governance rights as OpenAI transitions into a for-profit entity. Both companies have hired major investment banks to advise on the matter, with Goldman Sachs advising OpenAI and Morgan Stanley advising Microsoft. This negotiation is seen as unprecedented and could significantly impact the future relationship between the two tech giants.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant new funding secured • 25%
Moderate new funding secured • 25%
No new funding secured • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
AGI clause removed, no additional changes • 25%
AGI clause removed, increased Microsoft investment • 25%
AGI clause remains, increased collaboration in other areas • 25%
No change in the partnership agreement • 25%
Microsoft wins • 25%
OpenAI wins • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Investment increases • 25%
Investment remains unchanged • 25%
Investment decreases • 25%
Investment withdrawn • 25%