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Outcome of North Korea's next missile test
3
North Korea•East Sea•Sea of Japan•South Korean•Japanese•Japan Coast Guard•Japan•Exclusive Economic Zone•EEZ•Pyongyang•Yonhap
Resolution / Starting Odds
Success • 33%
Failure • 33%
No Test • 33%
Reports from South Korean or Japanese authorities, or international news agencies
Story
North Korea Launches Suspected Ballistic Missile Toward East Sea, Japan Coast Guard Confirms
Jun 25, 2024, 09:30 PM
North Korea launched a suspected ballistic missile toward the East Sea, also known as the Sea of Japan, early Wednesday morning. The launch was detected by both South Korean and Japanese authorities, including the Japan Coast Guard, with the missile appearing to have splashed down just minutes after its launch. The missile likely fell outside Japan's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), and no damage has been reported so far. The launch, which originated from the Pyongyang area around 5:30 AM, marks a significant development in regional security tensions. Initial reports from Yonhap suggest the missile test may have ended in failure mid-flight and that it was a shorter range variety.
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Short-range • 33%
Medium-range • 33%
Long-range • 34%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Other • 25%
Within one month • 25%
Within two months • 25%
Within three months • 25%
Not within three months • 25%
Solid-fuel hypersonic missile • 25%
Liquid-fuel ballistic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) • 25%
Successful landing in predetermined area • 25%
Failure to launch • 25%
Misses target area • 25%
Launch aborted • 25%
Another missile test • 25%
Diplomatic statement • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sea of Japan • 25%
Yellow Sea • 25%
Pacific Ocean • 25%
Other • 25%
Long-range ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Medium-range ballistic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
No missile test • 25%
United States • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Japan • 25%
Other • 25%
Another missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military parade • 25%
