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Outcome of NATO-Russia diplomatic engagement on Baltic incidents by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official NATO or Russian government statements
Story
Netherlands, Finland, and Sweden Use F-35 Jets to Intercept Russian Aircraft with Supersonic Missiles Over Baltic Sea
Dec 18, 2024, 03:07 PM
The Netherlands, in coordination with Finland and Sweden, intercepted Russian aircraft equipped with supersonic missiles over the Baltic Sea on Tuesday, according to the Dutch Defense Minister. The operation involved Dutch F-35 fighter jets intercepting two Russian Tu-22M3 bombers and two Su-27 fighters. The Dutch Defense Minister stated that the Russian aircraft were escorted along NATO airspace, marking another instance of Dutch F-35s intercepting Russian planes in the region since the beginning of December.
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Increased patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased NATO-Russia tensions • 25%
Decreased airspace violations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Summit meeting • 33%
High-level talks • 33%
No significant engagement • 34%
Increased military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No official response • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
NATO denies involvement • 25%
NATO confirms involvement • 25%
No official statement from NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant outcome • 33%
Increased military coordination • 33%
Increased tensions • 33%
Increased patrols • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No action • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New defense measures • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%