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What will be the outcome of Trump's hush money conviction ruling by November 12, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conviction Overturned • 33%
New Trial Ordered • 33%
Conviction Upheld • 34%
Official court documents or announcements
Story
Judge to Decide on Trump's Hush Money Conviction Tuesday
Nov 11, 2024, 06:09 AM
A New York judge is set to decide this week whether President-elect Donald Trump's criminal conviction on charges involving hush money paid to a porn star should be overturned. The decision hinges on the Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity. Justice Juan Merchan will issue a written opinion on Tuesday regarding Trump's request to dismiss the conviction or order a new trial. This ruling could potentially free Trump from the four criminal cases that once threatened his political career.
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Prison sentence • 25%
Probation • 25%
Fine only • 25%
Acquittal or dismissal • 25%
Conviction Overturned • 25%
New Trial Ordered • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
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Sentenced to fines only • 25%
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Acquitted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
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Pardon Granted • 25%
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Appeal dismissed • 25%
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Ruling Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%