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Outcome of India's protest against China's Ladakh counties by end of 2025?
2
India•China•Hekang•Hotan prefecture•Union Territory of Ladakh•Ministry of External Affairs•MEA•Randhir Jaiswal•Indian•Yarlung Tsangpo River•Tibet•Brahmaputra•Jaiswal
Resolution / Starting Odds
China retracts counties • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Official government announcements or credible international news outlets
Story
India Protests China's He'an and Hekang Counties in Ladakh, Concerned Over $137 Billion Brahmaputra Dam
Jan 3, 2025, 11:50 AM
India has lodged a formal protest with China over the establishment of two new counties, He'an and Hekang, in the Hotan prefecture, which include areas within India's Union Territory of Ladakh. The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal stated that India has never accepted China's illegal occupation of Indian territory in this region. Additionally, India has expressed concerns about China's plan to construct a mega hydropower dam on the Yarlung Tsangpo River in Tibet, which flows into India as the Brahmaputra. The project, estimated to cost $137 billion, has raised alarms in downstream countries. Jaiswal emphasized that India, as a lower riparian state with established user rights to the river's waters, has consistently conveyed its concerns to China through diplomatic channels. India urged China to ensure that the interests of downstream states are not harmed by upstream activities and pledged to monitor the situation and take necessary measures to protect its interests.
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China reverses the decision • 25%
International mediation occurs • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
China maintains the decision • 25%
Bangladesh • 33%
India • 33%
Both • 33%
Neither • 1%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Exercises conclude peacefully • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peaceful negotiation • 25%
Escalation of military presence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%