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Outcome of IDF airstrikes on Hezbollah weapons sites in southern Lebanon by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant damage to Hezbollah's weapon sites • 25%
Minor damage to Hezbollah's weapon sites • 25%
No damage to Hezbollah's weapon sites • 25%
Unclear or disputed outcome • 25%
Official IDF statements, reputable news sources reporting on the airstrikes and their aftermath
Story
IDF Urges Evacuation in Southern Lebanon Amid Imminent Airstrikes on Hezbollah Weapons
Sep 23, 2024, 06:24 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has issued an urgent warning to residents of southern Lebanon to evacuate homes and other buildings where Hezbollah is storing weapons. IDF Chief Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari emphasized that airstrikes on these locations are imminent, urging civilians to move away immediately for their own safety. The warnings, which included advice to stay away until further notice, were communicated through various channels, including text messages in Arabic, live addresses, and official statements. The IDF's actions come as part of a broader effort to intensify strikes against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
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Successful with no civilian casualties • 25%
Successful with civilian casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No airstrikes carried out • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Moderate damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Increased Hezbollah smuggling • 25%
Decreased Hezbollah smuggling • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hezbollah retaliation • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah maintains current strength • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Nasrallah killed • 25%
Nasrallah injured • 25%
Nasrallah unharmed • 25%
Outcome unclear • 25%
Successful with minimal civilian impact • 25%
Successful with significant civilian impact • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No airstrikes conducted • 25%
Significant Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
Civilian casualties reported • 25%
No significant outcomes reported • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah minimally affected • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Missiles destroyed • 25%
Missiles partially destroyed • 25%
Missiles remain intact • 25%
Missiles relocated • 25%
Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Hezbollah retaliates effectively • 25%
Hezbollah ceases attacks • 25%
Hezbollah reduces attacks • 25%
Hezbollah continues attacks • 25%
Hezbollah increases attacks • 25%