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VisitOutcome of HTS-led offensive in Aleppo by December 31, 2025?
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Syrian regime regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Credible news reports or official statements from involved parties
US Denies Involvement as HTS-Led Offensive in Aleppo Surprises Biden Administration
Dec 1, 2024, 12:42 AM
The Biden administration was surprised by a recent offensive launched by Syrian rebels in Aleppo and its surroundings, according to reports from Axios citing a U.S. official. The offensive is led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a designated terrorist organization. The White House has denied any involvement in the attack, stating that the United States "has nothing to do with this offensive." National Security Council spokesperson Sean Savett indicated that the U.S. is closely monitoring the situation in Syria, has been in contact with regional capitals over the past 48 hours, and urges de-escalation. The White House attributed the collapse of Syrian regime lines to President Bashar al-Assad's refusal to engage in the political process and his dependence on Russia and Iran, stating that the Assad regime is to blame. Additionally, the administration emphasized its commitment to defending U.S. interests and military positions in Syria.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
HTS solidifies control • 25%
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HTS loses control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Syrian Army regains control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
International intervention leads to new borders • 25%
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Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
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Increased sanctions on HTS • 25%
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Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Government forces regain control • 25%
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Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
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Government forces regain control • 25%
Other rebel groups take control • 25%
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Joint Control • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
ISIS or other terrorist groups • 25%
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Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
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Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%