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Outcome of House impeachment inquiry into President Biden by end of 2025?
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Alexander Smirnov•Israeli•FBI•Joe Biden•Hunter Biden•Smirnov•Los Angeles•Ukrainian•Burisma•Biden•House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Inquiry closed with no action • 25%
Inquiry leads to censure • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Censure • 25%
Impeachment • 25%
Other • 25%
Official Congressional records and announcements
Story
Alexander Smirnov Sentenced to Six Years for Fabricating Biden, Hunter Bribery Story to Influence 2020 Election
Jan 9, 2025, 03:56 AM
Alexander Smirnov, a dual U.S. and Israeli citizen and former FBI informant, was sentenced to six years in prison for fabricating a bribery story involving President Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden. Smirnov pleaded guilty last month in Los Angeles federal court to tax evasion and lying to the FBI about a phony bribery scheme, which prosecutors claim was an attempt to influence the 2020 presidential election. Smirnov falsely told his FBI handler that executives from the Ukrainian energy company Burisma had paid then-Vice President Biden and his son $5 million each around 2015. His claim resurfaced as part of the House impeachment inquiry into President Biden, which the Biden administration dismissed as a 'stunt.' Smirnov will receive credit for the time he has served behind bars since his arrest last February.
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Similar markets
Formal impeachment charges • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Censure • 25%
Impeachment inquiry continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment inquiry dropped • 25%
New evidence introduced • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Censure • 25%
No charges • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Investigation leading to charges • 25%
Investigation with no charges • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
