Loading...
Market
Republican impeachment inquiry against Biden ends without further charges by June 2025?
4
FBI•Alexander Smirnov•Joe Biden•Hunter Biden•Ukrainian•Burisma•Bidens•Republican•Smirnov•Los Angeles•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the House of Representatives or relevant committees
Story
Former FBI Informant Alexander Smirnov Pleads Guilty to Lying About Biden Bribery Scheme, Faces 48 to 72 Months for $5 Million Claims
Dec 16, 2024, 06:38 PM
Former FBI informant Alexander Smirnov pleaded guilty to charges of lying about a fabricated bribery scheme involving President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter Biden. The claims, which included allegations that the head of the Ukrainian energy company Burisma paid both Bidens $5 million, were central to a Republican impeachment inquiry. Smirnov's guilty plea, entered in Los Angeles, includes a felony charge related to the false statements and a separate tax evasion charge. He faces a potential sentence of 48 to 72 months. The case has drawn attention due to its implications for the ongoing political narrative surrounding the Biden administration.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Impeachment • 25%
Formal impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Censure • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Inquiry leads to censure • 25%
Inquiry closed with no action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Censure • 25%
Formal impeachment charges • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No charges • 25%
Impeachment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Censure • 25%
Impeachment inquiry continues • 25%
Impeachment inquiry dropped • 25%
New evidence introduced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
No evidence found • 25%