Loading...
Market
Alexander Smirnov's sentence reduced on appeal by end of 2025?
4
Alexander Smirnov•Israeli•FBI•Joe Biden•Hunter Biden•Smirnov•Los Angeles•Ukrainian•Burisma•Biden•House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records and official announcements regarding any appeal outcomes
Story
Alexander Smirnov Sentenced to Six Years for Fabricating Biden, Hunter Bribery Story to Influence 2020 Election
Jan 9, 2025, 03:56 AM
Alexander Smirnov, a dual U.S. and Israeli citizen and former FBI informant, was sentenced to six years in prison for fabricating a bribery story involving President Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden. Smirnov pleaded guilty last month in Los Angeles federal court to tax evasion and lying to the FBI about a phony bribery scheme, which prosecutors claim was an attempt to influence the 2020 presidential election. Smirnov falsely told his FBI handler that executives from the Ukrainian energy company Burisma had paid then-Vice President Biden and his son $5 million each around 2015. His claim resurfaced as part of the House impeachment inquiry into President Biden, which the Biden administration dismissed as a 'stunt.' Smirnov will receive credit for the time he has served behind bars since his arrest last February.
View original story
Similar markets
More than 72 months • 25%
Less than 48 months • 25%
48 to 60 months • 25%
61 to 72 months • 25%
4 to 6 years • 25%
More than 6 years • 25%
No prison sentence • 25%
Less than 4 years • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Sentence overturned • 25%
No appeal filed • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Sentence upheld • 25%
New trial granted • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
