Loading...
Market
Outcome of German tax relief and child benefits legislation by 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed with FDP support • 25%
Passed without FDP support • 25%
Not passed • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Official government publications or major news outlets like Deutsche Welle.
Story
FDP Conditionally Supports SPD, Greens on Tax Relief, Child Benefits Before Election
Dec 13, 2024, 12:08 PM
The former traffic light coalition parties in Germany, consisting of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP), have reached an agreement to pass legislation aimed at providing tax relief and increasing child benefits before the upcoming federal election. This decision comes despite the dissolution of their coalition, with the FDP signaling its willingness to support the draft law alongside the SPD and Greens. The proposed changes include adjustments to compensate for the 'cold progression' in income tax, where inflation pushes taxpayers into higher tax brackets without an actual increase in real income, and an increase in child benefits. The FDP's support is conditional on the removal of criticized bureaucratic costs for companies from the original proposal, which has now been agreed upon.
View original story
Similar markets
Passed as proposed • 25%
Passed with modifications • 25%
Not passed • 25%
No vote taken • 25%
Surplus greater than 10 billion euros • 25%
Surplus between 0 and 10 billion euros • 25%
Deficit between 0 and 10 billion euros • 25%
Deficit greater than 10 billion euros • 25%
Increase by more than 20% • 25%
Increase by 10-20% • 25%
Increase by less than 10% • 25%
No significant change or decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
New Coalition Formed • 25%
Snap Elections Called • 25%
Other • 25%
Coalition remains unchanged • 25%
New coalition formed • 25%
Early elections announced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tax hikes implemented as planned • 33%
Tax hikes partially rolled back • 33%
Tax hikes completely rolled back • 34%
Scholz wins the vote • 33%
Scholz loses the vote • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Bill passes the Senate • 25%
Bill fails in the Senate • 25%
New bill introduced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Scholz's party wins majority • 25%
Opposition party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Hung parliament • 25%
Decrease • 25%
0.0% to 1.0% growth • 25%
1.1% to 2.5% growth • 25%
Above 2.5% growth • 25%
Increase aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Reduce aid • 25%
Cease aid completely • 25%