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Outcome of First Legal Challenge Against FISA Bill Modifications
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Challenge successful • 50%
Challenge unsuccessful • 50%
Court ruling or major legal news reporting
Story
Controversial FISA Bill Could Expand NSA Surveillance, Compel Businesses to Assist
Apr 16, 2024, 05:10 PM
The reauthorization of Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) has sparked significant controversy due to provisions that could dramatically expand the U.S. government's surveillance capabilities. The bill includes changes to the definition of 'electronic communications surveillance provider' which could compel nearly all businesses and individuals involved in internet-related services to assist in NSA surveillance operations. This expansion has been described by Senator Ron Wyden as one of the most dramatic and terrifying in history. NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden also warned that the new powers are both dramatic and terrifying.
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Rules entirely upheld • 33%
Rules partially struck down • 33%
Rules entirely struck down • 34%
Increase in surveillance-related complaints • 25%
Legal victories upholding new surveillance • 25%
Legal setbacks challenging surveillance • 25%
No significant impact on cases • 25%
Amendments pass • 33%
Amendments fail • 33%
No amendments proposed • 34%
Supreme Court challenges • 25%
Lower federal courts handle the challenges • 25%
State courts involved • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Uphold decision • 33%
Overturn decision • 33%
Partial overturn • 33%
Challenge successful • 25%
Challenge partially successful • 25%
Challenge unsuccessful • 25%
No challenge filed • 25%
Upheld in courts • 33%
Partially struck down • 33%
Fully struck down • 34%
No challenge • 33%
Challenge unsuccessful • 33%
Challenge successful • 34%
Rules are upheld • 33%
Rules are partially struck down • 34%
Rules are entirely struck down • 33%
Uphold the ban • 33%
Overturn the ban • 33%
Send back to lower court • 34%