Loading...
Market
Outcome of Conservative's election challenge
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Challenge successful • 25%
Challenge partially successful • 25%
Challenge unsuccessful • 25%
No challenge filed • 25%
Court decision or major news outlets
Story
Labour's Parker Wins West Midlands Mayor by 1,508 Votes, 0.25% Margin
May 4, 2024, 03:13 PM
In a closely contested West Midlands mayoral election, Labour's Richard Parker narrowly defeated Conservative incumbent Andy Street by a margin of just 1,508 votes. The final results, which came after a tense recount, showed Parker winning with 37.79% of the vote, a slight decrease from previous years, while Street received 37.54%, marking a significant decrease of 11.2% from his last victory. The election saw a voter turnout of 29.8%. New candidates like Akhmed Yakoob also made notable entries. The recount was requested by the Conservative party due to the tight race, with initial unconfirmed sources suggesting Street had lost by about 2,000 to 3,000 votes. The race was characterized by its narrow margins across several districts, with the final outcome hinging on the results from Sandwell.
View original story
Similar markets
Rules entirely upheld • 33%
Rules partially struck down • 33%
Rules entirely struck down • 34%
Majority dismissed • 33%
Majority upheld • 33%
Mixed outcomes • 33%
Lawsuit successful • 33%
Lawsuit partially successful • 33%
Lawsuit unsuccessful • 34%
Appeal successful • 33%
Appeal rejected • 33%
Appeal ongoing • 34%
Uphold decision • 33%
Overturn decision • 33%
Partial overturn • 33%
In favor of Kennedy • 33%
Against Kennedy • 33%
Dismissed without a ruling • 33%
Challenge successful • 50%
Challenge unsuccessful • 50%
Concede defeat • 33%
Request another recount • 33%
File a legal challenge • 33%
Uphold Trump Immunity • 33%
Reject Trump Immunity • 33%
No decision made • 34%
Fines imposed • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Other legal consequences • 34%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Case Dismissed • 34%