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Market
Outcome of the Nevada mail ballot deadline lawsuit by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lawsuit successful • 33%
Lawsuit partially successful • 33%
Lawsuit unsuccessful • 34%
Court ruling documentation
Story
Trump Campaign and GOP Sue Nevada Over Mail Ballot Deadline
May 3, 2024, 07:32 PM
The Republican National Committee, former President Donald Trump's campaign, and the Nevada Republican Party have filed a lawsuit against Nevada election officials, challenging the state's law that allows mail ballots to be accepted up to four business days after Election Day. The lawsuit, filed on Friday, targets the Nevada Secretary of State and several county clerks, alleging that the mail-in ballot deadline is unconstitutional and violates federal law regarding Election Day deadlines. The Nevada Secretary of State has declined to comment on the ongoing litigation but expressed hope that the Republican National Committee is dedicating sufficient resources to educating voters on election participation.
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Court upholds Nevada mail ballot law • 50%
Court overturns Nevada mail ballot law • 50%
New federal law passed • 25%
Amendment to existing laws • 25%
No change in laws • 25%
Repeal of conflicting laws • 25%
Support the lawsuit • 33%
Oppose the lawsuit • 33%
Neutral/no comment • 34%
Increased voter turnout • 50%
Decreased voter turnout • 50%
Appeal successful • 33%
Appeal rejected • 33%
Appeal ongoing • 34%
Majority dismissed • 33%
Majority upheld • 33%
Mixed outcomes • 33%
GOP wins • 33%
GOP loses • 33%
Case dismissed • 33%
Settled out of court • 33%
SpaceX wins • 33%
Plaintiffs win • 33%
Appeal upheld • 33%
Appeal denied • 33%
No appeal filed • 34%
Amendment passes • 50%
Amendment fails • 50%