Loading...
Market
Outcome of Azerbaijan's demand for accountability in crash by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Ilham Aliyev•Russia•Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer E190•Aktau•Kazakhstan•Azerbaijani•Aliyev•Russian Federation•Brazil•Azerbaijan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia held accountable • 25%
No accountability established • 25%
Joint accountability with other parties • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from Azerbaijani government or international aviation authorities
Story
Azerbaijani President Accuses Russia of Responsibility for Azerbaijan Airlines Crash Killing 38 in Aktau, Kazakhstan
Jan 6, 2025, 11:40 AM
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has accused Russia of being responsible for the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer E190 plane near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on December 25, which resulted in the deaths of 38 out of 67 Azerbaijani citizens on board. Aliyev stated that the responsibility for the deaths lies with representatives of the Russian Federation, citing poor coordination between Russia's military and civilian services as a contributing factor to the tragedy. He demanded justice, accountability, and transparency in the investigation, emphasizing that the crash could have been prevented if proper measures had been taken. Aliyev also mentioned that the plane's black boxes are being analyzed in Brazil, reflecting Azerbaijan's demand for an objective investigation.
View original story
Similar markets
Compensation agreement • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Russia admits responsibility • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
International mediation • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Bilateral agreement • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Acceptance of findings • 25%
Other response • 25%
Formal protest • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Azerbaijani claims disproven • 25%
Russian military personnel • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russian military fault • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Seek compensation through international courts • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No legal action • 25%
File lawsuit against Russia • 25%