Loading...
Market
Outcome of arrest warrants for South Korean political figures by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
All charges dropped • 25%
Some charges upheld • 25%
All charges upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Official judicial records or announcements from South Korean authorities
Story
South Korea Targets Opposition Leader Lee Jae-myung and Others for Arrest
Dec 3, 2024, 06:38 PM
South Korean authorities have reportedly attempted to arrest opposition leader Lee Jae-myung, along with Han Dong-hoon, the leader of the People’s Power Party, and Woo Won-shik, the Speaker of the National Assembly. The arrests are part of a broader crackdown on political figures, with arrest teams entering political offices near the National Assembly in Seoul. Arrest warrants have been issued for these individuals. The military and police have been involved in these operations, with CCTV footage confirming the presence of soldiers at the scenes. The Democratic Party of South Korea has claimed that the military attempted to detain Lee Jae-myung in his office. This follows widespread protests and parliamentary unrest, indicating a significant political upheaval in the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Netanyahu arrested • 25%
Gallant arrested • 25%
Sinwar arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Martial law deemed unconstitutional • 25%
Martial law upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All arrested • 25%
Some arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
