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Outcome for Pierre Poilievre's security clearance by March 2025?
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Justin Trudeau•Canadian•Conservative•Trudeau•Pierre Poilievre•Canadian Security Intelligence Service•CSIS•Poilievre•Tory•India
Resolution / Starting Odds
Granted full clearance • 25%
Granted partial clearance • 25%
Denied clearance • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Official statements from the Canadian government or CSIS
Story
Trudeau Reveals Intelligence on 11 Conservative MPs' Foreign Interference
Oct 16, 2024, 04:19 PM
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau testified before an inquiry on foreign interference, revealing that Canadian intelligence agencies have information implicating current and former Conservative parliamentarians in foreign interference schemes. Trudeau criticized Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre for not obtaining a security clearance, calling it 'bewildering.' He also stated that he has instructed the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) to warn Poilievre and protect the party's integrity. The inquiry also discussed foreign interference in the Tory leadership race, with mentions of India being involved. Trudeau noted that 11 parliamentarians are implicated and described the interference as 'significant.'
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Pierre Poilievre • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Jagmeet Singh • 25%
Other • 25%
All clearances approved without issues • 25%
Some clearances delayed due to issues • 25%
Majority of clearances face significant issues • 25%
Clearance process revised or halted • 25%
Obtain security clearance • 25%
Publicly deny allegations • 25%
Resign from leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy continues unchanged • 25%
Policy is reversed • 25%
Policy is modified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Sentence Reduced • 25%
New Trial Ordered • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No impact, all assume office smoothly • 25%
Minor delays for some members • 25%
Significant delays for multiple members • 25%
Major disruptions, multiple members unable to assume office • 25%