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Number of cross-border incursions into Russia's Kursk region reported by Russian Defense Ministry by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1 to 2 • 25%
3 to 4 • 25%
More than 4 • 25%
Official statements from the Russian Defense Ministry or credible news reports
Story
Shelling in Russia's Kursk Region Kills Five Civilians
Aug 6, 2024, 08:19 PM
The Kursk region in Russia has been subjected to significant shelling from Ukraine, resulting in casualties among civilians. The interim governor of the region reported that five people, including three children, were injured in the attacks. Additionally, Russian officials claim that five civilians, including two ambulance crew members, were killed during a cross-border incursion into Kursk Oblast. The Russian Defense Ministry has accused Ukrainian forces of breaking into the territory, while air defense systems reportedly destroyed at least 26 Ukrainian drones overnight. The attacks have been described as terrorist actions against civilians by Russian authorities.
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Less than 10,000 troops • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 troops • 25%
20,000 to 30,000 troops • 25%
More than 30,000 troops • 25%
Successfully repels Ukrainian forces • 25%
Fails to repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
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Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 - 20,000 • 25%
20,001 - 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
6-8 • 25%
9 or more • 25%
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150-200 sq km • 25%
200-250 sq km • 25%
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11-30 • 25%
31-50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in attacks • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire or peace agreement • 25%