Loading...
Market
Next major intelligence official removed in Egypt by end of 2025?
3
Abbas Kamel•Kamel•Egypt•Israeli•CIA•Palestinian•Hamas•Fatah•Gaza•Ronen Bar•Israel•Shin Bet•Cairo•Hassan Mahmoud Rashad•Rashad
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hassan Mahmoud Rashad • 25%
Mohamed Ahmed Farid • 25%
Khaled Fawzi • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Egyptian government or credible news sources
Story
Egypt's President Sisi Removes Spy Chief Abbas Kamel, Shin Bet Meets New Chief Rashad
Oct 20, 2024, 02:38 PM
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has removed his long-time intelligence director, Abbas Kamel, in a sudden and unexpected move. Officially, Kamel was removed for health reasons, but speculation suggests deeper motives. Kamel, who served as Egypt's spy chief since 2018, was instrumental in building strategic ties with Israeli intelligence, the CIA, and Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah. He was also a key mediator in Gaza. Following his removal, Ronen Bar, the head of Israel's Shin Bet, visited Cairo on Sunday to meet with Kamel's successor, Hassan Mahmoud Rashad. The meeting focused on renewing talks regarding hostages and was Rashad's first interaction with an Israeli official.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase in surveillance measures • 25%
Decrease in surveillance measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-4 • 25%
5-9 • 25%
10-14 • 25%
15 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Senior intelligence officer • 25%
Military official • 25%
IRGC Quds Force member • 25%
Other • 25%
Change in Hezbollah leadership • 25%
Change in Mossad leadership • 25%
Change in Unit 8200 leadership • 25%
No change • 25%
Director of CIA • 25%
Deputy Director of CIA • 25%
Chief of Staff • 25%
No Resignation/Dismissal • 25%