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Will a high-ranking military official resign or be dismissed due to the plot by June 30, 2025?
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Brazilian Federal Police•PF•Geraldo Alckmin•Alexandre de Moraes•Wladimir Soares•Alexandre Ramalho•Jair Bolsonaro•Bolsonaro•Anderson Torres•Walter Braga Netto•Lula
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government or military announcements
Story
Brazilian Federal Police Uncover Assassination Plot Against Lula; Bolsonaro to be Indicted
Nov 21, 2024, 04:06 PM
The Brazilian Federal Police (PF) has revealed a plot to assassinate President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin, and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. The investigation led to the arrest of four military personnel and one federal police officer, including Wladimir Soares, who was co-opted by agent Alexandre Ramalho. The PF's findings indicate that former President Jair Bolsonaro had full knowledge of the assassination plan. Bolsonaro, along with several high-ranking officials, including ex-ministers Anderson Torres and Walter Braga Netto, is expected to be indicted. President Lula has publicly acknowledged the failed attempt on his life, including an attempted poisoning, expressing gratitude for his survival.
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