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Nature of Russia's retaliation to Poland's restrictions on diplomats by the end of 2024
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Poland•Russian•Polish•Radosław Sikorski•Masovian Voivodeship•Warsaw•Moscow•European Union•Russian Federation•Russian Foreign Ministry•TASS
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic expulsions • 33%
Trade restrictions • 33%
Military posturing • 34%
Public announcements or actions confirmed by international news outlets
Story
Poland Restricts Movement of Russian Diplomats, Says Radosław Sikorski
May 27, 2024, 02:10 PM
Poland has implemented restrictions on the movement of Russian diplomats within its territory. According to Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski, Russian diplomats will now be limited to moving only within the Masovian Voivodeship, the central region where Warsaw is located. The decision comes amid rising concerns over alleged sabotage operations and Moscow's involvement in a hybrid war against the European Union. The new measures will affect all Russian diplomats except for the Ambassador of the Russian Federation. In response, the Russian Foreign Ministry has announced that it will take retaliatory actions, as reported by TASS.
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No significant action • 33%
Expulsion of Belarusian diplomats • 33%
Introduction of new sanctions • 33%
Deterioration of Russia-West relations • 33%
No change in diplomatic relations • 33%
Improvement in diplomatic relations due to transparency • 34%
Retaliatory sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Cyber attacks on Western infrastructure • 25%
Military strikes in buffer zone areas • 25%
Political interference in elections • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions against Poland • 25%
Neutral/no significant response • 25%
Additional diplomat recalls • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No further actions • 25%
Seizure of Western assets • 33%
Cyberattacks on Western infrastructure • 33%
No significant retaliation • 34%
Severing of diplomatic ties with certain countries • 25%
No change in diplomatic relations • 25%
Negotiations for resolution • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Condemnation but no action • 25%
Sanctions against Belarus • 25%
Military support to Poland • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase in Military Presence in Crimea • 25%
Retaliatory Strikes • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%