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Market
National Rally seat percentage in run-offs
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 30% • 33%
30-50% • 33%
More than 50% • 34%
Official election results from the French government
Story
French Parties Consider Candidate Withdrawal to Block Far-Right National Rally After 33% Win
Jul 1, 2024, 06:12 AM
French centrist and left-wing parties, including the far-left, are considering pulling their candidates out of run-offs in hundreds of electoral districts to prevent the far-right National Rally from gaining power. The National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, secured 33% of the popular vote in the first round of France’s snap two-round general election. Jean-Luc Melenchon, the chief of the left-wing party, stated that they will not allow the National Rally to win anywhere. French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance and the left-wing New Popular Front are weighing their options to keep the ascendant far-right party out of power. It remains uncertain if Macron’s party will fully cooperate in this effort.
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30% to 39.9% • 25%
40% or higher • 25%
Less than 190 • 25%
190 to 209 • 25%
210 to 229 • 25%
230 or more • 25%
Less than 200 • 25%
200-214 • 25%
215-230 • 25%
More than 230 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%