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More successful orbital launches in Q1 2025: Blue Origin or SpaceX?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Blue Origin • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Tie • 25%
Neither • 25%
Launch records from Blue Origin and SpaceX, verified by space industry reports
Story
Blue Origin Scrubs First New Glenn Launch from Cape Canaveral Due to Subsystem Issue
Jan 13, 2025, 03:45 AM
Blue Origin's inaugural launch of its New Glenn rocket was scrubbed early Monday morning after multiple delays during the countdown. Scheduled to lift off from Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral at 1:30 a.m. EST, the launch faced several setbacks and was ultimately scrubbed due to a subsystem issue. Spectators had gathered at Jetty Park, and Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos was present in mission control. The booster, named 'So You're Telling Me There's a Chance,' was set to land on the platform 'Jacklyn,' named after Bezos's mother. Despite the scrub, the company is expected to reschedule the launch, aiming to challenge SpaceX's dominance in the commercial space industry.
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Neither • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Zero • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Partial success (e.g., suborbital flight) • 25%
Launch postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Failure (e.g., explosion or termination) • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
Successful launch and satellite deployment • 25%
Launch failure during ascent • 25%
Launch failure after liftoff but before orbit • 25%
Launch postponed or canceled • 25%
Arianespace • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Other • 25%
OneWeb • 25%
Other • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
United Launch Alliance • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Other • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Equal number of launches • 25%
New Glenn surpasses Falcon Heavy in launches • 25%
Falcon Heavy maintains more launches • 25%
Neither launches again in 2025 • 25%
76 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 75 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%