Market
Will U.S. imports of Canadian cars significantly reduce by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trade data from U.S. Customs or reports from major automotive industry publications
Story
Trump Vows to Use 'Economic Force' to Make Canada 51st State, Dismisses Military Action
Jan 7, 2025, 05:39 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that he plans to use economic measures to integrate Canada with the United States, ruling out any military action to annex the neighboring country. Describing the U.S.-Canada border as an 'artificially drawn line,' Trump suggested that unifying the two nations would be beneficial economically and militarily. He questioned why the U.S. is 'losing $200 billion and more to protect Canada,' asserting that 'we don't need anything they have.' Trump indicated that economic pressure could be used to achieve closer political alignment, including discouraging purchases of Canadian cars and lumber.
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Similar markets
Data unclear or mixed • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
No change in exports • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
