Market
What economic measure will the U.S. primarily use against Canada in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariffs on Canadian goods • 25%
Sanctions on Canadian industries • 25%
Restrictions on Canadian investments • 25%
No significant economic measures • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible economic analysis reports
Story
Trump Vows to Use 'Economic Force' to Make Canada 51st State, Dismisses Military Action
Jan 7, 2025, 05:39 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that he plans to use economic measures to integrate Canada with the United States, ruling out any military action to annex the neighboring country. Describing the U.S.-Canada border as an 'artificially drawn line,' Trump suggested that unifying the two nations would be beneficial economically and militarily. He questioned why the U.S. is 'losing $200 billion and more to protect Canada,' asserting that 'we don't need anything they have.' Trump indicated that economic pressure could be used to achieve closer political alignment, including discouraging purchases of Canadian cars and lumber.
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Similar markets
Tax harmonization • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Investment incentives • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
Other • 25%
Automotive • 25%
Lumber • 25%
Dairy • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Worsened • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Improved • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Escalation to trade war • 25%
Formal trade agreement • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Energy cutoffs • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased tariffs on US goods • 25%
Border security • 25%
Trade • 25%
Other • 25%
Fentanyl and drug smuggling • 25%