Market
What will be the impact on U.S. vehicle imports from China/Russia by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Trade statistics from the U.S. Department of Commerce or industry reports
Story
U.S. Bans Import and Sale of Connected Vehicles With Chinese, Russian Tech for National Security
Jan 14, 2025, 06:48 PM
The Biden administration has finalized a rule that effectively bans the import and sale of connected vehicles with Chinese and Russian technology in the U.S., citing national security concerns. The rule, set to be implemented in phases, will prohibit the import of Vehicle Connectivity System (VCS) hardware and software, as well as Automated Driving System (ADS) software, with a sufficient nexus to China or Russia. The software-related prohibitions will begin with model year 2027 vehicles, while hardware restrictions will apply starting with model year 2030 vehicles. This measure aims to safeguard U.S. national security by preventing potential misuse of sensitive data or interference by foreign adversaries through vehicle technologies. The rule also extends to vehicles manufactured in the U.S. by entities with ties to China or Russia, effectively barring them from sale if they incorporate the prohibited technologies.
View original story
Similar markets
Minor decrease (<5%) • 25%
Moderate decrease (5-10%) • 25%
Significant decrease (>10%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant decrease in exports • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
No significant change in exports • 25%
Moderate decrease in exports • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by 10% or more • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
Significant Decrease (>10%) • 25%
Increase in Trade Volume • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Moderate Decrease (5-10%) • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Data unclear or mixed • 25%
No change in exports • 25%
Improved significantly • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved slightly • 25%
Increase • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Trade surplus achieved • 25%
Trade deficit decreases • 25%
Trade deficit remains the same • 25%
Trade deficit increases • 25%
