Market
Will Trump's green card policy for U.S. college graduates face legal challenges within the first year of implementation?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets or court records
Story
Trump Proposes Immediate Green Cards for Two-Year, Four-Year, and Doctoral U.S. College Graduates to Retain Talent
Dec 28, 2024, 12:06 AM
Donald Trump has proposed a new immigration policy that would grant green cards to all individuals who graduate from U.S. colleges, including two-year, four-year, and doctoral programs. This initiative aims to retain talented graduates who might otherwise leave the country to pursue opportunities abroad, particularly in countries like India and China. Trump emphasized that this policy would take effect immediately upon his administration's start, framing it as a strategy to keep talent in the U.S. and bolster economic growth. The proposal has been characterized as pro-immigrant and beneficial for many Dreamers, as it would provide them with a pathway to remain in the country legally. Trump's broader immigration stance includes welcoming individuals who come to the U.S. legally, while rejecting those with criminal backgrounds.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes, from other TPS holders • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Yes, from Salvadorans • 25%
Yes, from Venezuelans • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%