Market
What will be the impact of Trump's green card policy on U.S. college graduate retention by the end of 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
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Decrease • 25%
Reports from educational institutions or government agencies
Story
Trump Proposes Immediate Green Cards for Two-Year, Four-Year, and Doctoral U.S. College Graduates to Retain Talent
Dec 28, 2024, 12:06 AM
Donald Trump has proposed a new immigration policy that would grant green cards to all individuals who graduate from U.S. colleges, including two-year, four-year, and doctoral programs. This initiative aims to retain talented graduates who might otherwise leave the country to pursue opportunities abroad, particularly in countries like India and China. Trump emphasized that this policy would take effect immediately upon his administration's start, framing it as a strategy to keep talent in the U.S. and bolster economic growth. The proposal has been characterized as pro-immigrant and beneficial for many Dreamers, as it would provide them with a pathway to remain in the country legally. Trump's broader immigration stance includes welcoming individuals who come to the U.S. legally, while rejecting those with criminal backgrounds.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
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Pathway to Citizenship • 25%
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