Market
What will be the effect of Trump's green card policy on international student enrollment in U.S. colleges by the 2025-2026 academic year?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in enrollment • 25%
Decrease in enrollment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Enrollment data from U.S. colleges and universities
Story
Trump Proposes Immediate Green Cards for Two-Year, Four-Year, and Doctoral U.S. College Graduates to Retain Talent
Dec 28, 2024, 12:06 AM
Donald Trump has proposed a new immigration policy that would grant green cards to all individuals who graduate from U.S. colleges, including two-year, four-year, and doctoral programs. This initiative aims to retain talented graduates who might otherwise leave the country to pursue opportunities abroad, particularly in countries like India and China. Trump emphasized that this policy would take effect immediately upon his administration's start, framing it as a strategy to keep talent in the U.S. and bolster economic growth. The proposal has been characterized as pro-immigrant and beneficial for many Dreamers, as it would provide them with a pathway to remain in the country legally. Trump's broader immigration stance includes welcoming individuals who come to the U.S. legally, while rejecting those with criminal backgrounds.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Moderate decrease in undocumented immigrants • 25%
Increase in undocumented immigrants • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant decrease in undocumented immigrants • 25%
No Significant Changes • 25%
Increased Deportations • 25%
Pathway to Citizenship • 25%
New Visa Restrictions • 25%
Increase restrictions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Decrease restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
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Minor changes enacted • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Stricter policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Looser policies • 25%
Blocked by legal challenges • 25%
Counteracted by legislation • 25%
Implemented fully • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mixed Changes • 25%
More Lenient • 25%
More Restrictive • 25%
Increased support within GOP • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support within GOP • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%