Market
Will Trump initiate military action against Hamas after January 20, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the US Department of Defense or credible news agencies
Story
Trump Warns of 'Hell' if Hamas Hostages Not Released by January 20, 2025
Dec 16, 2024, 04:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has warned that if the hostages held by Hamas in Gaza are not released by his inauguration on January 20, 2025, there will be severe consequences. In a recent press conference, Trump revealed he had a conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, discussing the hostage situation. He emphasized that he had already given a warning regarding the hostages, stating, 'If these Hamas hostages aren't back home by that date, all hell's going to break out.' This statement was made in the context of ongoing tensions and the unresolved hostage crisis in Gaza.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Military action initiated • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for diplomacy • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's stance • 25%