Market
What will be the international response to Trump's warning to Hamas by January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for diplomacy • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's stance • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international governments, the United Nations, or credible news sources
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Release Hostages by January 20 or 'There Will Be Hell to Pay'
Jan 7, 2025, 05:32 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas, stating that if hostages held in Gaza are not released by the time he takes office on January 20, "all hell will break out in the Middle East." In an interview on the Hugh Hewitt show, Trump emphasized that "there will be hell to pay" if the hostages are not returned, adding that the situation would not be good for Hamas or anyone else. His Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, echoed the urgency of the situation, expressing hope for a hostage deal before the inauguration. The hostages have been held since the October 7 attacks, and Trump has reiterated his demands for their immediate release.
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Similar markets
Neutral response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's warning • 25%
Support for Trump's warning • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Predominantly critical • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Divided • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Positive • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation from major allies • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
