Market
Will Trump authorize military action against Hamas by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Warns of 'Hell' if Hamas Hostages Not Released by Inauguration, Critiques Biden's Approach
Jan 6, 2025, 03:54 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his stern warning regarding the hostages held by Hamas, stating that if they are not released by the time he takes office, 'there will be hell—no ‘don’t,’ there will be hell. They need to be released now.' This statement was made in response to a question about his earlier warning of 'hell to pay' if the hostages are not freed by his inauguration. Trump's comments also included a critique of President Joe Biden's approach, referencing Biden's use of the word 'don't' in a previous warning to potential aggressors against Israel. Trump emphasized his support for Israel, citing his administration's achievements such as moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem and facilitating the Abraham Accords, while also expressing his commitment to peace.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Hostages released • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Military action initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%