Market
Will Trump appoint a new special envoy for Iran by June 30, 2025?
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White House•Donald Trump•Brian Hook•Iran•Trump•Truth Social•Hook•State Department•Wilson Center for Scholars•Islamic Republic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
Trump Fires Brian Hook from Wilson Center, Part of Over a Thousand Appointees Removed on First Day
Jan 21, 2025, 01:41 PM
On his first day back in the White House, President Donald Trump announced the dismissal of Brian Hook, who served as the special envoy for Iran during Trump's previous term. Trump's decision was communicated via a post on Truth Social, where he stated that his administration is actively removing over a thousand appointees from the previous administration who do not align with his vision. Hook, who was also involved in managing the transition at the State Department, was specifically removed from his position at the Wilson Center for Scholars. This move is part of a broader effort by Trump to realign his administration with his policy objectives, particularly in relation to Iran, where Hook had been a key figure in implementing heavy sanctions against the Islamic Republic.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
A new appointee with no prior Trump administration ties • 25%
No new key appointments • 25%
Richard Grenell • 25%
Another former Trump administration official • 25%
No official response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Appointed as envoy • 25%
Not appointed, remains in another role • 25%
Not appointed, exits government service • 25%
