Market
Outcome of NATO-Russia diplomatic talks on Baltic Sea incident by June 30, 2025?
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NATO•Baltic Sea•Russian•French•Sébastien Lecornu•NATO Baltic Sentry operation•Russia•French Armed Forces
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Official statements from NATO or Russian government
Story
French Navy Aircraft Targeted by Russian S-400 During NATO Baltic Sentry Operation Over Baltic Sea
Jan 17, 2025, 01:11 PM
A French Navy Atlantique 2 maritime patrol aircraft, operating as part of a NATO operation over the Baltic Sea, was targeted by the Russian military. The incident occurred during the night of January 15-16, 2025, when the aircraft was subjected to a jamming attempt and illuminated by the fire-control radar of a Russian S-400 air defense system while patrolling in international airspace. French Defense Minister Sébastien Lecornu condemned the action as an 'aggressive Russian action' that is 'unacceptable.' The aircraft was on a surveillance mission within the framework of the NATO Baltic Sentry operation, in response to recent damage to undersea cables, suspected to be acts of sabotage by Russia. The French Armed Forces emphasized their commitment to defending freedom of navigation in international air and sea spaces.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No official response • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Unintentional miscommunication • 25%
Deliberate provocation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
France • 25%
Other NATO member • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%