Market
Will there be a significant policy shift in U.S. foreign aid by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official policy documents or statements from the U.S. government
Story
Trump Halts U.S. Foreign Development Assistance for 90 Days for Efficiency and Policy Alignment Review
Jan 21, 2025, 02:00 AM
President Donald Trump has issued an executive order to implement a 90-day pause on U.S. foreign development assistance. This pause is intended for an assessment of the efficiency of aid programs and their alignment with U.S. foreign policy. The order mandates that all foreign aid must align with American interests and not be antithetical to American values. Each aid program will be reviewed during this period.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Aid Resumption without Changes • 25%
Permanent Aid Reduction • 25%
Aid Suspension Extended • 25%
Aid Resumption with Changes • 25%
No reduction • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Environmental Initiatives • 25%
Military Assistance • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Development • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Aid reduced • 25%
Aid stopped • 25%
Aid increased • 25%
Aid maintained • 25%
