Market
Which department will oversee most U.S. foreign aid policy changes by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Department of State • 25%
USAID • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Treasury • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible news reports
Story
Trump Halts U.S. Foreign Development Assistance for 90 Days for Efficiency and Policy Alignment Review
Jan 21, 2025, 02:00 AM
President Donald Trump has issued an executive order to implement a 90-day pause on U.S. foreign development assistance. This pause is intended for an assessment of the efficiency of aid programs and their alignment with U.S. foreign policy. The order mandates that all foreign aid must align with American interests and not be antithetical to American values. Each aid program will be reviewed during this period.
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USAID • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Economic Development • 25%
Environmental Initiatives • 25%
Military Assistance • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Trade and economic policies • 25%
Military and defense • 25%
Other/General diplomacy • 25%
Human rights and democracy • 25%
Permanent Aid Reduction • 25%
Aid Resumption with Changes • 25%
Aid Suspension Extended • 25%
Aid Resumption without Changes • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
No reduction • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Military action • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
FEMA • 25%
Department of Health and Human Services • 25%