Market
Outcome of U.S. Foreign Aid Policy Review by April 21, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Aid Resumption with Changes • 25%
Aid Resumption without Changes • 25%
Permanent Aid Reduction • 25%
Aid Suspension Extended • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or White House
Story
Trump Suspends U.S. Foreign Aid for 90 Days to Review Policy Alignment
Jan 21, 2025, 05:26 AM
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order temporarily suspending all U.S. foreign assistance programs for 90 days. The order mandates a review to assess the alignment of these programs with his administration's foreign policy objectives. The pause affects new obligations and disbursements of development assistance funds to foreign countries, non-governmental organizations, international organizations, and contractors. Trump's order states that the foreign aid industry and bureaucracy are not aligned with American interests and values, and it aims to ensure that no further assistance is disbursed in a manner inconsistent with U.S. foreign policy.
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Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Development • 25%
Environmental Initiatives • 25%
Military Assistance • 25%
Economic Development • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Human Rights • 25%
Security and Defense • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aid reduced • 25%
Aid canceled • 25%
Aid increased • 25%
Aid continues as planned • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
USAID • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
No reduction • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
Latin America • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Asia • 25%
Africa • 25%
Existing tariffs removed • 25%
New tariffs imposed • 25%
No change in tariffs • 25%
Other significant trade policy change • 25%