Market
Will there be a significant legal development in Ross Ulbricht's case by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records, legal news reports
Story
Senator Rand Paul Urges Trump to Fulfill Promise and Free Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht
Jan 21, 2025, 10:04 PM
Senator Rand Paul has urged President Donald Trump to grant clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road online marketplace, who is serving two life sentences plus 40 years. In a letter to the President, Paul called on Trump to fulfill his earlier campaign promise to commute Ulbricht's sentence, arguing that Ulbricht's punishment is excessive compared to others involved in similar offenses, some of whom received sentences of 5 to 10 years.
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Similar markets
Pardon granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
Successful challenges • 25%
Ongoing challenges • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
No challenges • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
New Legislation Proposed • 25%
Increased Advocacy for Reform • 25%
Legal Challenges to Pardon • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase in appeals • 25%
New legal precedents • 25%
Minimal Coverage • 25%
Predominantly Positive • 25%
Predominantly Negative • 25%
Balanced • 25%