Market
Will the U.S. recognize HTS as the governing body of Syria by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government announcements or statements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
Blinken: U.S. in Direct Contact with HTS Over Assad's Ouster and Austin Tice
Dec 14, 2024, 04:39 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, speaking during his Middle East trip in Jordan, has confirmed that the United States has been in direct contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the Syrian rebel group under the leadership of Abu Mohammed al-Jolani that overthrew President Bashar al-Assad's government. Despite HTS being designated as a terrorist organization, Blinken stated, 'We are in direct contact with HTS and other parties in Syria,' indicating a significant shift in U.S. policy. Discussions with HTS have focused on the issue of missing American journalist Austin Tice and stressing U.S. principles for recognizing a future Syrian government. Blinken mentioned that the U.S. will review sanctions against HTS after assessing their actions. The international community is closely monitoring HTS's governance structures and potential impact on Syria's future.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Recognition by major powers (e.g., US, UK) • 25%
No recognition • 25%
UN recognition • 25%
EU recognition • 25%
Recognition status unclear • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Widely recognized internationally • 25%
No formal recognition • 25%
Recognized by regional countries only • 25%
Sanctions imposed by multiple countries • 25%
Recognized by multiple Western countries • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
Full support • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No support • 25%