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What will be the international response to HTS's role in Syria's new government by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full support • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
No support • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Statements from international organizations like the UN or EU, or credible news sources
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U.S. Urges Syrian Rebels HTS to Form Inclusive Government Post-Assad
Dec 11, 2024, 01:59 AM
The Biden administration has engaged in initial contacts with the Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which ousted Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from power. U.S. officials have urged HTS not to assume automatic leadership of the country but instead to support the formation of an inclusive transitional government that represents the will of the Syrian people. This outreach reflects Washington's stance that it will not back HTS's control without a comprehensive process to select new leaders, according to Reuters, citing two American officials and a congressional aide.
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Recognition by major powers • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Sanctions or military action • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
No major response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Recognition status unclear • 25%
Widely recognized internationally • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Disbanded • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Recognition by major powers (e.g., US, UK) • 25%
No recognition • 25%
UN recognition • 25%
EU recognition • 25%
No formal recognition • 25%
Recognized by regional countries only • 25%
Sanctions imposed by multiple countries • 25%
Recognized by multiple Western countries • 25%
HTS forms own government • 25%
Other role • 25%
HTS excluded from government • 25%
HTS part of interim government • 25%
Increased sanctions on HTS • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%