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Will the U.S. impose sanctions on Sudanese military chief by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or U.S. Treasury
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U.S. Officials Confirm Sudan's Military Used Chemical Weapons at Least Twice Against RSF, Sanctions Expected
Jan 16, 2025, 04:18 PM
The United States has determined that Sudan's military has employed chemical weapons in its ongoing conflict against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary group. U.S. officials confirmed that these chemical weapons were used on at least two occasions. In response to these findings, sanctions against the Sudanese military chief are anticipated. This development highlights the severity of the conflict in Sudan, where the military is engaged in intense fighting with the RSF.
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Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
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Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions imposed and effective • 25%
Sanctions imposed but ineffective • 25%
Sanctions not imposed • 25%
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U.S., EU, and others • 25%
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