Market
Will the UN respond to a Turkish military intervention in Syria by July 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations press releases or resolutions
Story
Erdogan Warns of Military Intervention to Prevent Syria's Fragmentation
Jan 6, 2025, 04:54 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has declared that Turkey will not tolerate the fragmentation or disruption of Syria's unitary structure. He emphasized that if any risk arises in this regard, Turkey is prepared to take swift action, including military intervention if necessary, to prevent such an outcome. Erdogan's statements suggest a readiness to intervene militarily if necessary, indicating Turkey's firm stance on maintaining Syria's territorial integrity.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint and diplomatic talks • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for de-escalation and dialogue • 25%
Condemnation of Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Turkey • 25%