Market
Will the UK officially accuse Putin of the Skripal assassination attempt by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or reports from the UK government or intelligence agencies
Story
UK Intelligence Links Putin to Sergei Skripal Assassination Attempt Over Criminal Embezzlement in Metals Production
Dec 2, 2024, 06:04 PM
The UK government has indicated that Russian President Vladimir Putin may have ordered the assassination attempt on former spy Sergei Skripal due to concerns that Skripal possessed secret information about Putin's alleged criminal embezzlement of profits from metals production. Reports suggest that the intelligence community believes this motive is linked to Putin's fear of exposure regarding how he accumulated his vast fortune. The incident is part of a broader pattern of targeted actions against individuals who pose a threat to Putin's interests.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Foreign government • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Internal Russian entity • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Unknown/Other • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
Russian government • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
