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Will Russian authorities confirm Bashar al-Assad's poisoning by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian government or credible international news agencies
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Former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad Allegedly Poisoned in Moscow While in Exile Under Putin's Protection
Jan 2, 2025, 04:04 PM
Reports have emerged alleging an assassination attempt on Bashar al-Assad, the former president of Syria, who has been living in exile in Moscow under the protection of Russian President Vladimir Putin since his ousting on December 8 of the previous year. According to unverified claims from a Russian Telegram channel, General SVR, Assad, aged 59, fell ill on Sunday, experiencing severe symptoms including violent coughing and choking. He reportedly sought medical assistance, and tests later confirmed the presence of poison in his system. Assad received treatment in his apartment, and his condition was said to have stabilized by Monday. No official confirmation or further details have been provided by Russian authorities regarding the incident.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Non-state actor • 25%
Internal Russian entity • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Russian government • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No official response • 25%
