Market
What will be identified as the primary motive for Skripal's assassination attempt by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Embezzlement exposure • 25%
Espionage activities • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other motives • 25%
Reports from international investigations or credible news sources
Story
UK Intelligence Links Putin to Sergei Skripal Assassination Attempt Over Criminal Embezzlement in Metals Production
Dec 2, 2024, 06:04 PM
The UK government has indicated that Russian President Vladimir Putin may have ordered the assassination attempt on former spy Sergei Skripal due to concerns that Skripal possessed secret information about Putin's alleged criminal embezzlement of profits from metals production. Reports suggest that the intelligence community believes this motive is linked to Putin's fear of exposure regarding how he accumulated his vast fortune. The incident is part of a broader pattern of targeted actions against individuals who pose a threat to Putin's interests.
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Similar markets
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Internal Russian entity • 25%
Identified as a biological toxin • 25%
Identified as a chemical irritant • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified as a nerve agent • 25%
Personal Dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Political Motive • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Insufficient resources • 25%
Human error • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
Russian government • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Political motive • 25%
Other • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Financial gain • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Political Motivation • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Organized crime • 25%
Political retaliation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
