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Will the Trump administration acknowledge foreign adversaries as the cause of Havana Syndrome by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Trump administration or related press releases
Story
White House to Brief Trump Team as NSA Links Havana Syndrome to Foreign Adversaries
Jan 10, 2025, 07:10 PM
Two U.S. intelligence agencies, including the National Security Agency, have shifted their positions on the cause of the mysterious 'Havana Syndrome,' now suggesting that foreign adversaries may be responsible for the anomalous health incidents affecting American diplomats and personnel overseas. The agencies point to advances in foreign technology, such as pulsed electromagnetic and acoustic energy weapons, as possible explanations. This contradicts the 2023 intelligence assessment by the intelligence community that found no evidence of foreign involvement. Senior National Security Council officials informed victims during a meeting at the White House that some conclusions from previous assessments 'were no longer valid.' The White House is set to brief the incoming Trump administration on these findings.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No acknowledgment • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
None identified • 25%
China • 25%
No identification • 25%
Russia • 25%
Another country • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Attacks deemed non-foreign • 25%
Russia confirmed as perpetrator • 25%
Another foreign adversary identified • 25%
No conclusive perpetrator identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown cause • 25%
Foreign weapon confirmed • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No action • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%