Market
Will SpaceX's Starship achieve full reusability in a single mission by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from SpaceX or credible aerospace publications
Story
SpaceX's Starship, the Largest Rocket Ever Built, Set to Revolutionize Space Travel with Double the Thrust of Saturn V
Dec 29, 2024, 08:45 PM
SpaceX's Starship, touted as the largest and most powerful rocket ever built, is set to revolutionize space travel with its unprecedented capabilities. Elon Musk emphasized that Starship has a thrust and mass double that of the Saturn V, which was the largest rocket to reach orbit. Starship is designed to be fully and rapidly reusable, with plans to produce one rocket per month. Its potential for commercial use is expected to drastically reduce costs and facilitate human missions to Mars and beyond, marking a significant step toward making life multiplanetary. Experts highlight that the increase in payload capacity, comparable to Falcon Heavy, indicates a rapid advancement in space technology, positioning Starship as a critical element in humanity's future in space.
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Successful re-entry • 25%
First manned flight • 25%
First commercial payload delivery • 25%
Other • 25%
Rapid turnaround time under 20 days • 25%
No major innovation • 25%
Increased payload capacity • 25%
New reusability technology • 25%
Other milestone • 25%
Successful orbital flight • 25%
Successful landing • 25%
Manned flight • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Other • 25%
First orbital Starship flight • 25%
First manned Mars mission • 25%