Market
Will SpaceX successfully complete the first Starship Flight 7 mission in January 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from SpaceX or FAA, confirmed by major news outlets
Story
FAA Approves SpaceX for Multiple Starship Flight 7 Missions in January 2025
Dec 17, 2024, 10:51 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has granted SpaceX a launch license modification for the Starship Flight 7, allowing for multiple missions with the Starship/Super Heavy vehicle on the specified mission profile and vehicle configuration. The license was issued well ahead of the projected launch date in January 2025, marking a significant step forward in SpaceX's ongoing test flight program. The FAA's approval follows a review of safety and environmental requirements, indicating readiness for the next phase of testing with the 2d generation Starship. No confirmed launch date has been set yet.
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Successful launch but mission failure • 25%
Successful launch and mission • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Complete Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Mission Aborted • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
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No • 50%
Satellite deployment • 25%
Crewed mission test • 25%
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Cargo delivery • 25%
0-1 • 25%
4-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
2-3 • 25%
Partial success with minor issues • 25%
Mission failure • 25%
Major issues encountered • 25%
All objectives completed successfully • 25%