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Will South Korea launch another military reconnaissance satellite by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or defense ministry
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South Korea Launches Third Spy Satellite via Falcon 9 at 8:34 PM KST from Vandenberg Space Force Base
Dec 21, 2024, 11:41 AM
On December 21, 2024, South Korea successfully launched its third military reconnaissance satellite from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California. The satellite, carried by a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, lifted off at 8:34 PM KST (3:34 AM local time). Following the launch, the satellite successfully separated from the rocket and entered its designated orbit. The South Korean defense ministry confirmed that communication with the satellite was established shortly after it reached orbit, marking a significant advancement in the country's military capabilities. This launch is part of South Korea's ongoing efforts to enhance its surveillance capabilities amid regional tensions.
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Decline in capability • 25%
No improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Request for international intervention • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Call for diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maintain current non-nuclear stance • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Other • 25%
Seek nuclear sharing with the US • 25%
